Revenue Intelligence

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Live · NSIBRA GRID · Ondo State Pilot
Overview
Economic intelligence · Ondo State Pilot · NSIBRA GRID
Total Economic Activity
₦87.4B
↑ +9.2% vs last 30d
Verified Revenue
₦36.0B
↑ +11.4% vs last 30d
Compliance Rate
41.2%
↑ +4.1% vs last 30d
Active Cases
147
↑ +23 this week
Geographic Intelligence
Field Visit Remote Action Compliant Unknown
₦87.4B
−
₦36.0B
=
₦51.4B
41.2% of estimated revenue verified · 58.8% gap remaining
Underreported
₦28.2B
54.9%
Unregistered
₦14.6B
28.4%
Non-compliant
₦6.8B
13.2%
Other
₦1.8B
3.5%
Live Anomaly Feed AI
Top Insights
⚠
Akure South underreporting by 3.2x
Market cluster shows ₦8.4B gap vs declared ₦2.6B
📍
47 unregistered entities in Ore
Petroleum sector — estimated ₦4.1B annual activity
✓
Ondo Town compliance up 12%
Following last month's verification drive
Recommended Actions
🚨
Dispatch to Akure Market
High priority — 3 entities flagged for field verification
📋
Issue notices — Ikare cluster
14 entities past compliance deadline
LGA Breakdown
Akure South₦24.1B
Ondo West₦18.7B
Ore/Odigbo₦14.2B
Ikare-Akoko₦11.8B
Okitipupa₦9.4B
Owo₦9.2B
Entities
All registered and flagged economic entities in Ondo State
All Entities · 2,847 total
Entity NameRC NumberSectorLGAEst. RevenueLast FiledStatusRisk
Intelligence
AI-generated anomaly detection and revenue insights
Critical
Akure South Market Cluster — Severe Underreporting
Analysis of 847 entities in Akure South shows declared revenue averaging ₦2.4M per entity. Satellite foot traffic and transaction density suggest actual activity is 3.2× higher, indicating systematic underreporting.
Estimated gap: ₦8.4B
Critical
47 Unregistered Petroleum Entities — Ore/Odigbo
Cross-referencing NUPRC data with GRID registry reveals 47 active petroleum-sector businesses operating without tax registration in Ore and surrounding areas.
Estimated annual gap: ₦4.1B
High
Hospitality Sector — VAT Discrepancy in Ondo West
18 hotels and hospitality businesses in Ondo West show VAT remittances inconsistent with room occupancy data from 2024. Shortfall pattern is consistent across the sector.
Estimated gap: ₦1.8B
High
Ikare-Akoko — 14 Entities Past Compliance Deadline
14 medium-to-large enterprises in Ikare-Akoko have failed to file their Q1 2026 returns. Compliance deadline was 31 March 2026. Escalation recommended for 6 entities.
Outstanding revenue: ₦940M
Medium
Okitipupa — Agricultural Sector Underregistration
Agricultural processors and export operations in Okitipupa LGA appear significantly underrepresented in the registry relative to known export volumes at Ondo ports.
Estimated gap: ₦620M
Scenario Simulator — Projected IGR Impact
AI-POWERED
38%
0
0%
₦36.0B
Current baseline
+₦0
Above current
41.2%
No change
Adjust the sliders above to model different compliance scenarios and see projected impact on state IGR.
AI Copilot
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Data Context
Total Entities2,847
LGAs Monitored18
Revenue Gap₦51.4B
Compliance Rate41.2%
Unregistered294 est.
Active Cases147
Top Risk Entities
Greenfield Oil & Gas
Gap: ₦143.5MHIGH RISK
Prime Hotels Consortium
Gap: ₦17.2MMED RISK
Ikare Central Market
Gap: ₦34.1MHIGH RISK
Actions
Field assignments, compliance notices and case management
Active Field Assignments
Recent Notices Issued
Pending Escalations
EntityReasonSubmitted ByDatePriority
Greenfield Oil & Gas LtdNon-response to 3 noticesOkafor, A.06 May 2026Critical
Ondo State Farms LtdRevenue gap exceeds ₦500MAdeyemi, K.05 May 2026High
Prime Hotels ConsortiumVAT remittance discrepancyOkafor, A.04 May 2026High
Reports
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Available Reports
Audit Trail
Complete log of all officer actions — immutable and timestamped
Recent Activity
All recent entity actions and compliance updates
Activity Log
EntitySectorLGAEst. RevenueStatusUpdated
User Management
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All Staff Accounts
NameStaff IDRoleDivisionLast LoginStatus
NSIBRA GRID
FIELD OFFICER
GPS Off
BA
Bello Adesanya
Field Officer · GRID Akure Division
Today
0
Completed
My Location Acquiring GPS...
My Assignments (0)
QR Compliance Scanner
📷
Scan Business QR Code
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NSIBRA GRID
MINISTRY OF FINANCE · BUDGET & ECONOMIC PLANNING
Live · Ondo State Pilot
Fiscal Intelligence Dashboard
Ondo State · Budget & Economic Planning · FY 2026
Fiscal Health Score
47
Out of 100 · Below Target · Improving +4pts this quarter
IGR Collection Rate41.2%
Budget Utilisation68.4%
Debt Service Ratio12.3%
FAAC Dependency61.8%
IGR vs Budget Target — FY 2026
Collected
₦36.0B
Annual Target
₦87.4B
41.2% achieved₦51.4B remaining
Quarterly Breakdown
Q1
₦8.2B
Q2
₦10.4B
Q3
₦11.8B
Q4
—
Sector Performance vs Budget
Petroleum
79% ↓
₦14.2B actual₦18B target
Retail & Commerce
93% ↑
₦8.4B actual₦9B target
Hospitality
53% ↓
₦3.2B actual₦6B target
Agriculture
107% ↑
₦4.8B actual₦4.5B target
Logistics
90% →
₦2.7B actual₦3B target
Technology
120% ↑
₦1.2B actual₦1B target
LGA Economic Activity Ranking
1 Akure South ₦24.1B +9.2%
2 Ondo West ₦18.7B +4.1%
3 Ore/Odigbo ₦14.2B +12.4%
4 Ikare-Akoko ₦11.8B -2.1%
5 Okitipupa ₦9.4B +3.2%
6 Owo ₦9.2B +6.8%
Policy Impact Tracker
Tax Amnesty Programme — Q1 2026
ACTIVE
Before
28.4%
After
38.1%
Impact
+9.7%
SME Registration Drive — Jan 2026
ACTIVE
Before
2,341
After
2,847
Impact
+506 entities
Digital Filing Initiative — Q4 2025
COMPLETED
Before
14%
After
31%
Impact
+17% digital
Petroleum Sector Audit — Pending
PENDING
Before
23%
After
—
Projected
₦4.1B recovery
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